Publications

Research for what comes next.

Weekly market updates, original research, and model analysis from the same TrendToWealth research system.

Weekly Market Update

Every published weekly market update, newest first.

Market Update

S&P 500 Rose, but Participation Remained Weak

The S&P 500 gained 1.3% for the week, while the median constituent fell 0.9%; 47.1% of measured constituents were above their 200-day average and 25.6% were above their 50-day average.

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Market Update

Stock Market Near Its High. Will Leadership Change?

The S&P 500 remains close to its high, but participation has narrowed and the Momentum factor sits further below its own peak.

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Market Update

Commodities Post Their Best Year-to-Date Run in 20 Years

Broad commodities (DBC) are up +48.3% year to date through September 11 — the strongest comparable January-to-September return in the 20 comparable years available (2007–2026) — while the S&P 500's Strong trend holds even as sector participation and constituent breadth both narrowed this week.

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Market Update

Momentum Leads as Individual Stocks Break Away

The S&P 500 was little changed to start September, but the quiet index return masked much larger moves beneath the surface.

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Market Update

Long Treasuries Led the Week; Energy Remains the Top S&P 500 Sector Year-to-Date

Long Treasuries led the weekly cross-asset ranking, Energy led the S&P 500 sector ranking year-to-date, and S&P 500 participation stood at 67.4% above the 200-day average and 45.3% above the 50-day average.

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Market Update

Gold and commodities led as equity participation softened

Gold and commodities led the week, equities lagged despite broad long-term participation, and bonds offered little defensive confirmation.

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Market Update

Equity leadership reversed while commodities retained the lead

Equity leadership rotated toward prior laggards, commodities remained the strongest cross-asset exposure, and bonds did not confirm a broad defensive shift.

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Models

Explore published model research and how the models are built. Current positions are available to members.

Model Research

Model results and reference blends

Explore historical returns, benchmarks, drawdowns and model blends.

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Methodology

How the models work

Read the rules and assumptions behind the published models.

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Current model positions

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For educational purposes only. This describes historical market data and does not predict future results. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not predict future results. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.