Weekly Market UpdateWeek of Nov 2, 2026Oct 30, 2026

Most sectors rose. The index didn’t.

Data through Oct 30, 2026Total returnSubscribe

Three Things to Know This Week

Nine sectors rose; the S&P 500 fell
Health care +3.1% · communication services −5.3%
  • Materials gained 2.8%, behind health care’s 3.1%.
  • Technology lost 2.0% and communication services lost 5.3%.
October’s divide widened
Energy +13.9% in October · technology −8.3%
  • Consumer staples gained 10.9% and health care 9.8% during October.
  • Communication services fell 10.0% for the month.
Participation is stronger than the headline
64.6% above the 50-day average
  • 62.2% of covered constituents were above the 200-day average.
  • The same-session breadth reading covers 495 of 503 S&P 500 constituents.

State of the Stock Market

S&P 500 · Oct 30, 2026
Trend: Weak
Above 1 of 3 moving averages · 1 trading session in this weak trend since Oct 30, 2026
Risk
Low & Falling
63-day realized vol 10.5% · reference 15.0%
From 52-week high
-3.0%
52-week high set Oct 6, 2026
Position
Well Below Trend
Relative to the S&P 500's own 200-day trend history

Distance from trend

50-Day
-1.4%
1 trading session below since Oct 30, 2026
100-Day
-0.2%
1 trading session below since Oct 30, 2026
200-Day
+4.1%
144 trading sessions above since Apr 8, 2026

Broad markets

Total returns across major market exposures and horizons, shown side by side.

Tip: click any ticker to analyze it.

Sorted by YTD return · strongest to weakest

Broad markets. Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026.
ExposureWTDMTDQTDYTD1Y3Y Ann.5Y Ann.10Y Ann.
Broad commoditiesDBCBroad commodities, Week to date: down 1.4 percentBroad commodities, Month to date: up 4.0 percentBroad commodities, Quarter to date: up 4.0 percentBroad commodities, Year to date: up 50.3 percentBroad commodities, 1 year: up 52.0 percentBroad commodities, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 15.4 percentBroad commodities, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 12.6 percentBroad commodities, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.1 percent
U.S. small companiesIJRU.S. small companies, Week to date: up 1.5 percentU.S. small companies, Month to date: up 3.1 percentU.S. small companies, Quarter to date: up 3.1 percentU.S. small companies, Year to date: up 17.7 percentU.S. small companies, 1 year: up 17.3 percentU.S. small companies, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 18.8 percentU.S. small companies, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 6.1 percentU.S. small companies, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.7 percent
Emerging marketsEEMEmerging markets, Week to date: down 1.6 percentEmerging markets, Month to date: down 8.6 percentEmerging markets, Quarter to date: down 8.6 percentEmerging markets, Year to date: up 12.2 percentEmerging markets, 1 year: up 12.9 percentEmerging markets, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 21.5 percentEmerging markets, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 6.2 percentEmerging markets, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 7.5 percent
U.S. equitiesIVVU.S. equities, Week to date: down 0.5 percentU.S. equities, Month to date: down 0.9 percentU.S. equities, Quarter to date: down 0.9 percentU.S. equities, Year to date: up 11.8 percentU.S. equities, 1 year: up 12.9 percentU.S. equities, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 24.1 percentU.S. equities, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 12.0 percentU.S. equities, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 15.4 percent
International developedEFAInternational developed, Week to date: up 0.7 percentInternational developed, Month to date: down 0.5 percentInternational developed, Quarter to date: down 0.5 percentInternational developed, Year to date: up 9.3 percentInternational developed, 1 year: up 12.5 percentInternational developed, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 19.9 percentInternational developed, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.5 percentInternational developed, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 9.2 percent
Real estateVNQReal estate, Week to date: up 1.3 percentReal estate, Month to date: up 4.8 percentReal estate, Quarter to date: up 4.8 percentReal estate, Year to date: up 9.2 percentReal estate, 1 year: up 5.5 percentReal estate, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 14.0 percentReal estate, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 0.9 percentReal estate, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 5.7 percent
High-yield creditHYGHigh-yield credit, Week to date: up 0.5 percentHigh-yield credit, Month to date: up 0.7 percentHigh-yield credit, Quarter to date: up 0.7 percentHigh-yield credit, Year to date: up 0.4 percentHigh-yield credit, 1 year: up 1.3 percentHigh-yield credit, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 8.5 percentHigh-yield credit, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 3.4 percentHigh-yield credit, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 4.3 percent
U.S. aggregate bondsAGGU.S. aggregate bonds, Week to date: up 0.4 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Month to date: up 2.3 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Quarter to date: up 2.3 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Year to date: down 0.6 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, 1 year: down 0.8 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 5.3 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, 5 years annualised, annualised: down 0.2 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 1.4 percent
Investment-grade creditLQDInvestment-grade credit, Week to date: up 0.4 percentInvestment-grade credit, Month to date: up 2.5 percentInvestment-grade credit, Quarter to date: up 2.5 percentInvestment-grade credit, Year to date: down 2.0 percentInvestment-grade credit, 1 year: down 3.1 percentInvestment-grade credit, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 6.2 percentInvestment-grade credit, 5 years annualised, annualised: down 0.9 percentInvestment-grade credit, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 2.1 percent
Long-duration TreasuriesTLTLong-duration Treasuries, Week to date: up 0.6 percentLong-duration Treasuries, Month to date: up 5.6 percentLong-duration Treasuries, Quarter to date: up 5.6 percentLong-duration Treasuries, Year to date: down 2.8 percentLong-duration Treasuries, 1 year: down 6.4 percentLong-duration Treasuries, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 3.3 percentLong-duration Treasuries, 5 years annualised, annualised: down 7.9 percentLong-duration Treasuries, 10 years annualised, annualised: down 1.8 percent
GoldGLDGold, Week to date: down 3.0 percentGold, Month to date: down 6.6 percentGold, Quarter to date: down 6.6 percentGold, Year to date: down 10.2 percentGold, 1 year: down 5.8 percentGold, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 24.1 percentGold, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 16.4 percentGold, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 11.3 percent

Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026. — unavailable · 3Y/5Y/10Y annualised; shorter horizons cumulative.

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S&P 500 sectors

Total returns for the 11 S&P 500 sector ETFs across the same horizons.

Sorted by YTD return · strongest to weakest

S&P 500 sectors. Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026.
ExposureWTDMTDQTDYTD1Y3Y Ann.5Y Ann.10Y Ann.
EnergyXLEEnergy, Week to date: up 1.0 percentEnergy, Month to date: up 13.9 percentEnergy, Quarter to date: up 13.9 percentEnergy, Year to date: up 59.7 percentEnergy, 1 year: up 63.5 percentEnergy, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 22.1 percentEnergy, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 23.8 percentEnergy, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 11.6 percent
Information TechnologyXLKInformation Technology, Week to date: down 2.0 percentInformation Technology, Month to date: down 8.3 percentInformation Technology, Quarter to date: down 8.3 percentInformation Technology, Year to date: up 24.7 percentInformation Technology, 1 year: up 22.8 percentInformation Technology, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 31.4 percentInformation Technology, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 18.2 percentInformation Technology, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 23.7 percent
Health CareXLVHealth Care, Week to date: up 3.1 percentHealth Care, Month to date: up 9.8 percentHealth Care, Quarter to date: up 9.8 percentHealth Care, Year to date: up 20.4 percentHealth Care, 1 year: up 28.2 percentHealth Care, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 16.3 percentHealth Care, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.3 percentHealth Care, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 12.4 percent
MaterialsXLBMaterials, Week to date: up 2.8 percentMaterials, Month to date: up 8.3 percentMaterials, Quarter to date: up 8.3 percentMaterials, Year to date: up 17.3 percentMaterials, 1 year: up 20.1 percentMaterials, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 14.1 percentMaterials, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 6.4 percentMaterials, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.6 percent
Consumer StaplesXLPConsumer Staples, Week to date: up 1.3 percentConsumer Staples, Month to date: up 10.9 percentConsumer Staples, Quarter to date: up 10.9 percentConsumer Staples, Year to date: up 15.1 percentConsumer Staples, 1 year: up 15.4 percentConsumer Staples, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 13.1 percentConsumer Staples, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 7.3 percentConsumer Staples, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 8.2 percent
Real EstateXLREReal Estate, Week to date: up 1.4 percentReal Estate, Month to date: up 5.5 percentReal Estate, Quarter to date: up 5.5 percentReal Estate, Year to date: up 9.6 percentReal Estate, 1 year: up 4.8 percentReal Estate, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 13.9 percentReal Estate, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 1.4 percentReal Estate, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 7.2 percent
IndustrialsXLIIndustrials, Week to date: up 1.7 percentIndustrials, Month to date: up 0.3 percentIndustrials, Quarter to date: up 0.3 percentIndustrials, Year to date: up 7.9 percentIndustrials, 1 year: up 9.0 percentIndustrials, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 21.8 percentIndustrials, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 11.5 percentIndustrials, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 13.2 percent
FinancialsXLFFinancials, Week to date: up 1.1 percentFinancials, Month to date: up 5.8 percentFinancials, Quarter to date: up 5.8 percentFinancials, Year to date: up 3.2 percentFinancials, 1 year: up 7.7 percentFinancials, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 23.3 percentFinancials, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.8 percentFinancials, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 13.1 percent
UtilitiesXLUUtilities, Week to date: up 2.0 percentUtilities, Month to date: up 10.1 percentUtilities, Quarter to date: up 10.1 percentUtilities, Year to date: up 1.7 percentUtilities, 1 year: down 3.0 percentUtilities, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 17.1 percentUtilities, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.4 percentUtilities, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 9.3 percent
Consumer DiscretionaryXLYConsumer Discretionary, Week to date: up 2.0 percentConsumer Discretionary, Month to date: up 6.0 percentConsumer Discretionary, Quarter to date: up 6.0 percentConsumer Discretionary, Year to date: down 3.4 percentConsumer Discretionary, 1 year: down 2.3 percentConsumer Discretionary, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 16.4 percentConsumer Discretionary, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 3.6 percentConsumer Discretionary, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 12.6 percent
Communication ServicesXLCCommunication Services, Week to date: down 5.3 percentCommunication Services, Month to date: down 10.0 percentCommunication Services, Quarter to date: down 10.0 percentCommunication Services, Year to date: down 14.4 percentCommunication Services, 1 year: down 12.5 percentCommunication Services, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 17.9 percentCommunication Services, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 5.6 percentCommunication Services, 10 years annualised, annualised: not available

Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026. — unavailable · 3Y/5Y/10Y annualised; shorter horizons cumulative.

Investment styles

Total returns across major U.S. style and factor exposures across the same horizons.

Sorted by YTD return · strongest to weakest

Investment styles. Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026.
ExposureWTDMTDQTDYTD1Y3Y Ann.5Y Ann.10Y Ann.
Small ValueIJSSmall Value, Week to date: up 1.0 percentSmall Value, Month to date: up 3.7 percentSmall Value, Quarter to date: up 3.7 percentSmall Value, Year to date: up 17.9 percentSmall Value, 1 year: up 19.1 percentSmall Value, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 19.3 percentSmall Value, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 6.8 percentSmall Value, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.0 percent
Small GrowthIJTSmall Growth, Week to date: up 2.0 percentSmall Growth, Month to date: up 2.5 percentSmall Growth, Quarter to date: up 2.5 percentSmall Growth, Year to date: up 17.0 percentSmall Growth, 1 year: up 15.3 percentSmall Growth, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 17.9 percentSmall Growth, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 4.9 percentSmall Growth, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.8 percent
Equal WeightRSPEqual Weight, Week to date: up 0.8 percentEqual Weight, Month to date: up 4.9 percentEqual Weight, Quarter to date: up 4.9 percentEqual Weight, Year to date: up 15.3 percentEqual Weight, 1 year: up 16.0 percentEqual Weight, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 19.7 percentEqual Weight, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.5 percentEqual Weight, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 12.3 percent
Large ValueIVELarge Value, Week to date: up 0.6 percentLarge Value, Month to date: up 4.9 percentLarge Value, Quarter to date: up 4.9 percentLarge Value, Year to date: up 14.3 percentLarge Value, 1 year: up 16.0 percentLarge Value, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 19.6 percentLarge Value, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 11.6 percentLarge Value, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 12.2 percent
Momentum factorMTUMMomentum factor, Week to date: down 1.8 percentMomentum factor, Month to date: down 10.5 percentMomentum factor, Quarter to date: down 10.5 percentMomentum factor, Year to date: up 14.0 percentMomentum factor, 1 year: up 11.9 percentMomentum factor, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 29.0 percentMomentum factor, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 9.5 percentMomentum factor, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 15.5 percent
Quality factorQUALQuality factor, Week to date: down 0.1 percentQuality factor, Month to date: up 0.1 percentQuality factor, Quarter to date: up 0.1 percentQuality factor, Year to date: up 12.7 percentQuality factor, 1 year: up 14.1 percentQuality factor, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 21.6 percentQuality factor, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 10.7 percentQuality factor, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 14.6 percent
Mid GrowthIJKMid Growth, Week to date: up 1.1 percentMid Growth, Month to date: down 1.5 percentMid Growth, Quarter to date: down 1.5 percentMid Growth, Year to date: up 11.9 percentMid Growth, 1 year: up 11.6 percentMid Growth, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 17.6 percentMid Growth, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 5.8 percentMid Growth, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.9 percent
Mid ValueIJJMid Value, Week to date: up 1.6 percentMid Value, Month to date: up 5.6 percentMid Value, Quarter to date: up 5.6 percentMid Value, Year to date: up 11.8 percentMid Value, 1 year: up 13.1 percentMid Value, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 18.1 percentMid Value, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 8.2 percentMid Value, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.5 percent
Minimum VolatilityUSMVMinimum Volatility, Week to date: down 0.0 percentMinimum Volatility, Month to date: up 5.6 percentMinimum Volatility, Quarter to date: up 5.6 percentMinimum Volatility, Year to date: up 10.5 percentMinimum Volatility, 1 year: up 10.5 percentMinimum Volatility, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 15.2 percentMinimum Volatility, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 7.6 percentMinimum Volatility, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 10.8 percent
Large GrowthIVWLarge Growth, Week to date: down 1.5 percentLarge Growth, Month to date: down 5.5 percentLarge Growth, Quarter to date: down 5.5 percentLarge Growth, Year to date: up 9.4 percentLarge Growth, 1 year: up 10.0 percentLarge Growth, 3 years annualised, annualised: up 27.5 percentLarge Growth, 5 years annualised, annualised: up 11.5 percentLarge Growth, 10 years annualised, annualised: up 17.4 percent

Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Oct 30, 2026. — unavailable · 3Y/5Y/10Y annualised; shorter horizons cumulative.

Chart of the Week

Sectors: this week and the year so far

Health Care (XLV)+3.1%
Materials (XLB)+2.8%
Utilities (XLU)+2.0%
Consumer Discretionary (XLY)+2.0%
Industrials (XLI)+1.7%
Real Estate (XLRE)+1.4%
Consumer Staples (XLP)+1.3%
Financials (XLF)+1.1%
Energy (XLE)+1.0%
S&P 500 (IVV)-0.5%
Technology (XLK)-2.0%
Communication Services (XLC)-5.3%

Weekly and YTD total returns through October 30. Both columns use the same sector order, with a separate scale for each horizon. · Data through Oct 30, 2026

Energy leads YTD, while health care led this week. Technology remains positive for the year despite its recent losses; communication services is negative over both periods.

Three Things We're Watching

Can the lagging sectors recover?
Technology −2.0% this week
  • Watch technology and communication services together.
  • A rebound with continued gains elsewhere would be more broadly supported.
Does participation hold?
64.6% above the 50-day average
  • Track both shorter- and longer-term participation.
  • An index bounce with falling breadth would leave the picture uneven.
Does the October sector pattern persist?
Energy +13.9% in October
  • Compare energy, staples and health care with technology.
  • Use the weekly and YTD columns together rather than treating a single week as a lasting change.

Notes & methodology

Weekly total returns through October 30, 2026. Market tables use adjusted-close period anchors; the model section uses its explicitly labelled published weekly convention. Market tables use IVV for the S&P 500. The model table uses SPY and the same weekly YTD convention as Model Research. The ETF, source series and year-end anchor differ; compare each model with the benchmark in its own table.

AI assistance. This issue was prepared with AI-assisted research and drafting and reviewed by TrendToWealth before publication.

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For educational purposes only. This describes historical market data and does not predict future results. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not predict future results. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.