Weekly Market UpdateWeek of Aug 23, 2026Aug 20, 2026

Equity leadership reversed while commodities retained the lead

Data through Aug 20, 2026Total returnSubscribe

Three Things to Know This Week

Year-to-date equity leaders ranked near the bottom during the quarter.
  • The measurement describes a rotation in relative leadership, not a broad collapse in equity participation.
Commodity leadership extended across short and long return horizons.
  • This is persistent relative strength rather than the cross-horizon reversal measured within equities.
Duration-sensitive bonds remained weak while cash retained a positive return.
  • Bond performance did not confirm a conventional defensive rotation alongside the equity leadership reversal.

Cross-asset performance

Total returns across the same market exposures and horizons, shown side by side.

Tip: click any ticker to analyze it.

Sorted by YTD return · strongest to weakest

Cross-asset performance. Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Aug 20, 2026.
ExposureWTDMTDQTDYTD1Y
Broad commoditiesDBCBroad commodities, Week to date: up 4.5 percentBroad commodities, Month to date: up 5.6 percentBroad commodities, Quarter to date: up 16.7 percentBroad commodities, Year to date: up 39.1 percentBroad commodities, 1 year: up 47.2 percent
Emerging marketsEEMEmerging markets, Week to date: down 0.1 percentEmerging markets, Month to date: up 3.9 percentEmerging markets, Quarter to date: down 2.6 percentEmerging markets, Year to date: up 21.8 percentEmerging markets, 1 year: up 37.4 percent
U.S. small capIJRU.S. small cap, Week to date: down 2.2 percentU.S. small cap, Month to date: up 0.6 percentU.S. small cap, Quarter to date: down 1.3 percentU.S. small cap, Year to date: up 21.8 percentU.S. small cap, 1 year: up 33.7 percent
JapanEWJJapan, Week to date: down 4.3 percentJapan, Month to date: up 2.0 percentJapan, Quarter to date: up 1.1 percentJapan, Year to date: up 17.4 percentJapan, 1 year: up 26.2 percent
U.S. large cap, equal weightRSPU.S. large cap, equal weight, Week to date: down 1.1 percentU.S. large cap, equal weight, Month to date: up 2.5 percentU.S. large cap, equal weight, Quarter to date: up 3.5 percentU.S. large cap, equal weight, Year to date: up 15.9 percentU.S. large cap, equal weight, 1 year: up 22.3 percent
U.S. large capIVVU.S. large cap, Week to date: down 1.9 percentU.S. large cap, Month to date: up 2.1 percentU.S. large cap, Quarter to date: up 2.3 percentU.S. large cap, Year to date: up 11.9 percentU.S. large cap, 1 year: up 21.1 percent
Developed ex-U.S.EFADeveloped ex-U.S., Week to date: down 1.2 percentDeveloped ex-U.S., Month to date: up 1.7 percentDeveloped ex-U.S., Quarter to date: up 3.3 percentDeveloped ex-U.S., Year to date: up 11.8 percentDeveloped ex-U.S., 1 year: up 22.9 percent
U.S. real estateVNQU.S. real estate, Week to date: up 0.0 percentU.S. real estate, Month to date: down 0.4 percentU.S. real estate, Quarter to date: up 2.3 percentU.S. real estate, Year to date: up 11.4 percentU.S. real estate, 1 year: up 15.0 percent
GoldGLDGold, Week to date: up 4.1 percentGold, Month to date: up 11.8 percentGold, Quarter to date: up 12.7 percentGold, Year to date: up 4.8 percentGold, 1 year: up 32.6 percent
Cash / Treasury billsBILCash / Treasury bills, Week to date: up 0.1 percentCash / Treasury bills, Month to date: up 0.2 percentCash / Treasury bills, Quarter to date: up 0.5 percentCash / Treasury bills, Year to date: up 2.3 percentCash / Treasury bills, 1 year: up 3.9 percent
High yieldHYGHigh yield, Week to date: down 0.3 percentHigh yield, Month to date: up 0.6 percentHigh yield, Quarter to date: down 0.1 percentHigh yield, Year to date: down 0.8 percentHigh yield, 1 year: up 5.1 percent
U.S. aggregate bondsAGGU.S. aggregate bonds, Week to date: down 0.2 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Month to date: up 0.5 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Quarter to date: down 1.2 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, Year to date: down 2.1 percentU.S. aggregate bonds, 1 year: up 2.5 percent
Long TreasuriesTLTLong Treasuries, Week to date: down 0.3 percentLong Treasuries, Month to date: up 0.5 percentLong Treasuries, Quarter to date: down 4.4 percentLong Treasuries, Year to date: down 5.2 percentLong Treasuries, 1 year: down 1.3 percent
ChinaMCHIChina, Week to date: up 2.0 percentChina, Month to date: down 0.5 percentChina, Quarter to date: up 8.8 percentChina, Year to date: down 7.0 percentChina, 1 year: down 2.8 percent

Total return, from adjusted closes. Data through Aug 20, 2026. — unavailable · 3Y/5Y/10Y annualised; shorter horizons cumulative.

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Open the full multi-horizon leadership tool to compare markets, styles, sectors, and time periods.

Chart of the Week

The year's equity leaders are this quarter's laggards

MomentumSmallEMJapanEqual wt.MidQualityGrowthEuropeLargeDev. ex-U.S.REITsValueInfra.Min vol.ChinaYear-to-date total returnQuarter-to-date total return0%

Year-to-date and quarter-to-date total return for the 16 equity exposures in Core Markets. · Data through Aug 20, 2026

Three Things We're Watching

Does the YTD-versus-QTD rank correlation across the 16 equity exposures remain materially negative?
  • It measures whether the leadership reversal persists as the quarter lengthens.
Does the gap between S&P 500 participation above the 200-day and 50-day averages widen or narrow?
  • The gap separates long-horizon participation from the weaker short-horizon reading.
Do Broad Commodities and Energy retain leadership while Long Treasuries remain weak?
  • It tests whether the current cross-asset divergence persists across another session.

Notes & methodology

Weekly from adjusted closes, with WTD, MTD, QTD and YTD anchored to exact period-boundary closes. Each exposure is represented by one investable ETF proxy. The chart uses the 16 equity exposures within the 27-exposure Core Markets lens.

AI assistance. This issue was prepared with AI-assisted research and drafting and reviewed by TrendToWealth before publication.

Explore full cross-asset returns and screening on the Market Map.

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For educational purposes only. This describes historical market data and does not predict future results. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not predict future results. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.